Copa Argentina Β· Friday, 17 July 2026 Β· 21:45
San Lorenzo
DLLDL
12.45
X2.80
23.40
21:45
BTTS 1.80 Over 2.5 1.75 Under 2.5 2.00
Deportivo Riestra
WLLDL

The Tip
Both AIs agree @ 2.00

Under 2.5 Goals 2.00

Both Claude and Gemini agree. Both teams are struggling offensively, with San Lorenzo scoring only 4 goals in their last 5 matches and Deportivo Riestra managing just 2 goals in the same period. Riestra has shown particularly defe


Win probability
39%
San Lorenzo
34%
Draw
28%
Deportivo Riestra

The analysts
C Claude Anthropic medium
likes Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00

Both teams are struggling offensively, with San Lorenzo scoring only 4 goals in their last 5 matches and Deportivo Riestra managing just 2 goals in the same period. Riestra has shown particularly defensive play with only 1.2 average goals per game and a 0% Over 2.5 rate in recent form. The two previous head-to-head meetings both ended in draws, suggesting tight contests between these sides. Given the Copa Argentina knockout context and both teams' poor recent form, a cautious, low-scoring affair is likely.

G Gemini Google high
likes Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00

Deportivo Riestra exhibits a very low-scoring trend, having netted just 2 goals in their last five matches. Crucially, all of their recent five games have finished Under 2.5 goals, reflecting a 0% Over 2.5 rate. San Lorenzo's matches also average a modest 2.2 goals per game, with 60% ending Under 2.5. Given Riestra's struggle to find the net and their consistent involvement in low-scoring affairs, this match is highly likely to feature few goals.


Value bets
San Lorenzo to Win
Match Result β€” Home Win
Market implies 39% chance. Home advantage considered.
Model 39%
2.45
bet365
BTTS Yes
Both Teams to Score β€” Yes
Both sides have shown scoring threat. Market prices BTTS Yes at 1.8.
Model 56%
1.80
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
Scoring rates suggest goals likely. Over 2.5 priced at 1.75.
Model 57%
1.75
bet365
Deportivo Riestra or Draw
Double Chance β€” Deportivo Riestra or Draw
Away/draw probability 62%. Value at 1.5.
Model 62%
1.50
bet365

Predicted lineups Β· confirmed ~60 min before KO
San Lorenzo
1 Not confirmed
Deportivo Riestra
1 Not confirmed

Recent form Β· last 5 matches
San Lorenzo
DLLDL
W–D–L
0–2–3
Avg goals
2.2
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Deportivo Riestra
WLLDL
W–D–L
1–1–3
Avg goals
1.2
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
0%

Head to head Β· last 5
0 San Lorenzo 2 Draw 0 Deportivo Riestra

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